Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001893 0.002009 0.002130 0.002264 0.002410 0.002563 0.002736
2025-04-20 0.001664 0.001821 0.001990 0.002186 0.002407 0.002651 0.002941
2025-04-27 0.001563 0.001751 0.001960 0.002211 0.002504 0.002840 0.003255
2025-05-04 0.001501 0.001715 0.001959 0.002260 0.002624 0.003053 0.003604
2025-05-11 0.001462 0.001700 0.001978 0.002328 0.002763 0.003293 0.003996
2025-05-18 0.001407 0.001660 0.001960 0.002348 0.002842 0.003458 0.004300
2025-05-25 0.001328 0.001585 0.001895 0.002303 0.002833 0.003508 0.004454
2025-06-01 0.001267 0.001530 0.001851 0.002280 0.002847 0.003586 0.004647
2025-06-08 0.001231 0.001502 0.001839 0.002296 0.002913 0.003733 0.004940
2025-06-15 0.001182 0.001456 0.001800 0.002274 0.002923 0.003803 0.005127
2025-06-22 0.001140 0.001416 0.001767 0.002257 0.002940 0.003881 0.005328
2025-06-29 0.001100 0.001377 0.001734 0.002238 0.002950 0.003950 0.005518
2025-07-06 0.001050 0.001326 0.001686 0.002202 0.002941 0.004000 0.005699
2025-07-13 0.000987 0.001256 0.001609 0.002121 0.002866 0.003949 0.005722
2025-07-20 0.000966 0.001240 0.001606 0.002144 0.002941 0.004125 0.006116
2025-07-27 0.000954 0.001237 0.001620 0.002191 0.003054 0.004366 0.006636
2025-08-03 0.000949 0.001243 0.001645 0.002256 0.003197 0.004662 0.007275
2025-08-10 0.000930 0.001227 0.001640 0.002275 0.003270 0.004850 0.007743
2025-08-17 0.000893 0.001186 0.001596 0.002232 0.003242 0.004870 0.007910
2025-08-24 0.000864 0.001155 0.001566 0.002210 0.003245 0.004942 0.008178
2025-08-31 0.000848 0.001142 0.001561 0.002226 0.003311 0.005122 0.008665
2025-09-07 0.000823 0.001114 0.001532 0.002204 0.003313 0.005192 0.008944
2025-09-14 0.000800 0.001090 0.001509 0.002188 0.003324 0.005278 0.009261